ON AIR The prediction market as a time machine
Your stream is lying to you.
About 40 seconds of lying. Kalshi's traders react to a big play in about 7 seconds. Our first buzz lands about 15 to 25 seconds after the play, and names it a few seconds later. Streams show it 48 to 62 seconds after. That's a 25 to 45 second head start on streaming. (An antenna, at 19 seconds, can still beat us.)
NOW Loading the game… Watch it live ↓01 — The play
A touchdown happens. Real time: 0.0 s
Thousands of people at the stadium and on fast feeds see it at once. Their trades move the price before your stream shows the play.
02 — The market
Kalshi's price jumps 2.6 s later.
That's the median across 417 touchdowns, field goals, turnovers and big plays we lined up against ESPN's play clock. The price is the first public signal that something just happened.
03 — Your stream
Your stream shows it 48 s after it happened.
An antenna runs about 19 s behind and cable about 38 s. Streaming apps run 48–62 s behind (Super Bowl LX, measured by Stats Perform). You're watching the past.
04 — The gap
45.4 seconds where the market knows and you don't.
Kalshi Knows lives in that gap. We spot the jump, work out which play would move the price that much, and push it to your phone.
See it on a real game ↓